When does coincidence start to feel like #synchronicity? @ebradlow of @wharton has spent decades studying #probability and randomness. Yet he tells @brettahurt some moments carry a significance the odds can’t explain, especially when timing and meaning converge. (link in bio)
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The coin has no memory 🧠
Five heads in a row? Tails isn't 'due' — each flip is still 50/50. Independent events owe you nothing.
#probability #maths
11
Turn any chance into a % 🧠
1 ÷ the odds = the implied chance. 1 in 4 = 25%. Once you read prices as percentages, value jumps out.
#probability #maths #oddsexplained
9
#NifTY_50(23138)
Bear must break 23070 ... ..
To accelerate downside momentum..
#Probability
3
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Struggling with your statistics assignment? Let us help you!
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• Time Series
• Sampling Techniques
• ANOVA
• Non-parametric
• Biostats Econometrics
Data Interpretation & Reporting
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7
‘99% accurate’ test, you test positive — your real chance of having it is about 9%, not 99%. 🧠
This one breaks people’s brains. What did you guess? 👇
Follow @justvalueapp for the maths behind smart decisions.
#brainteaser #probability #bayes #maths #didyouknow
21
Why small samples lie 🧠
A good decision can lose ten times in a row — that's variance, not failure. The edge only shows over hundreds of tries. Trust the process.
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#statstab #622 Some notes on probability judgement
Thoughts: The position of an answer can be more informative than it's correctness.
#probability #psychology #bias #surveys #calibration #error
blog.djnavarro.net/posts/202…
116
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14
23 people in a room — the chance two share a birthday isn't tiny. It's 50.7%. More likely than not. 🤯
Did you guess higher or lower? 👇
Follow @justvalueapp for the maths behind smart decisions.
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